CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Click here to read full risk warning

Market Wrap: August 2019

Global growth (or lack thereof), Brexit and trade wars were the main concerns in August, however it was the trade wars between the United States and China that resumed its spot in the limelight in the markets.  According to some market strategists and US economists, the ongoing trade wars increases the chances of equities declining and more significantly, a global recession over the next 12 months. Morgan Stanley’s chief economist, Chetan Ahya has suggested that the global economy would fall into recession around six to nine months after the U.S. and China enforce their new round of tariffs.  “Risks remain skewed towards further escalation at least until material market or economic weakness shows,” Ahya told clients in a note.

Read More

Market Wrap – July 2019

 

Throughout July, the trade talks (or lack thereof) between the United States and China have taken a back seat as a leadership change in the United Kingdom along with its looming Brexit deadline have been a focus, as well as ongoing concerns about global growth and the U.S. Federal Reserve’s first rate cut since 2008.  The International Monetary Fund (IMF) trimmed its forecast for global economic growth again thanks to trade wars, inflation concerns and Brexit. “Risks to the forecast are mainly to the downside,” the IMF said. “They include further trade and technology tensions that dent sentiment and slow investment; a protracted increase in risk aversion that exposes the financial vulnerabilities continuing to accumulate after years of low interest rates.  Mounting disinflationary pressures that increase debt service difficulties, constrain monetary policy space to counter downturns, and make adverse shocks more persistent than normal.”

Read More

Valutrades November 2018 Market Recap

Several significant issues have lingered through November including Brexit, in which the Bank of England (BOE) have recently warned the nation of some significant consequences should the exit be disorderly.  Britain risks suffering an even bigger hit to its economy than during the global financial crisis 10 years ago in a worse-case scenario, according to the BOE.  The U.S. Federal Reserve have also recently changed their tune as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said he considers the central bank's benchmark interest rate to be near a neutral level, an important distinction from remarks he made less than two months ago.  The markets have generally welcomed this change.

Read More

Valutrades October 2018 Market Recap

This month we have seen global equities fall strongly, the US dollar continues its strong run on the back of the Federal Reserve's outlook for another rate hike in December, three more next year, and one increase in 2020. Trade talks took a back seat during October as central bank moves dominated the market commentary.

Read More