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Recent Posts by Graeme Watkins

 
CEO Valutrades Limited, Graeme Watkins is an FX and CFD market veteran with more than 10 years experience. Key roles include management, senior systems and controls, sales, project management and operations. Graeme has help significant roles for both brokerages and technology platforms.
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AUDUSD - Surges to Two Year High Above 0.76 as Australia’s Unemployment Drops

 

 
In the last few days the AUDUSD has resumed its surge higher to reach its highest level in two and a half years above 0.76, after pausing for two days. The last few weeks has seen the AUDUSD move strongly higher after enjoying solid support from the 0.7250 level. It initially surged strongly through the 0.7250 level before resting on the level. Prior to the surge it had fallen sharply back down through support at the key 0.7050 level down to a three month low below 0.70, before rallying strongly. Although some distance away now, should the AUDUSD decline from its current highs, the 0.7250 level would be expected to step up and provide some support again.
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XAUUSD - Rallies to Key $1870 Level as Fed Raises Forecasts

 

 
In the last two days the XAUUSD has rallied well from a two week low back towards $1870 which only a week ago provided stiff resistance to a strong rally. Three weeks ago, the XAUUSD rallied well off four month lows below $1770 to return to $1870, after spending several weeks easing away from the resistance at the key $1900 level. The last three months has seen the XAUUSD spend a considerable amount of time trading around $1900, which has reinforced how significant this level is. If the XAUUSD is to continue to rally back to $1900, it is highly likely to experience further resistance at this level.
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US30 - Trades Around Key 30000 Level as all Eyes on Fed

 

 
In the last two weeks the US30 index has traded on top of the key 30000 level after spending several weeks applying buying pressure, in which the level stood up and resisted prices firmly keeping the index below this level for the most part. In the last week or so, the US30 index has been resting on top and receiving solid support from this key level so it will be interesting to see if the index continues to push higher to new highs off this support. During the last month or so, it has also been well supported by the 29000 level, which may be called upon should the support at 30000 fail. During the first half of November, the index made its first run towards 30000 and in doing so, smashed through resistance at 29000, which has applied downward pressure on the index for some time.
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AUDUSD - Eases from Near 0.76 as Australia Out of Recession

 

 
In the last few days the AUDUSD has eased off a little and taken a breather after such a strong surge higher in the last few weeks moving to a two year high near 0.7580. For around two weeks prior to the move higher, the AUDUSD rested on and enjoyed solid support from the key 0.7250 level having surged higher in the week prior through the key level. Prior to the surge it had fallen sharply back down through support at the key 0.7050 level down to a three month low below 0.70, before rallying strongly. Although some distance away now, should the AUDUSD decline from its current highs, the 0.7250 level would be expected to step up and provide some support again. Having resisted prices so strongly, it was no surprise that the 0.7250 level stepped in and offered support once it was broken through so strongly in early November.
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Market Recap: 7 - 11 December

 

 
On Tuesday last week we covered UK Oil which spent the remainder of the week continuing to move higher to a nine month high above $50, after surging higher from support at the key $43 level. It has eased on two occasions in the last few weeks, before reversing and continuing to rally higher. In the few days before the recent surge, it eased back to the key $43 level and enjoyed some support. In the two weeks prior, UK Oil surged from its lowest level in five months below $36.50 back up to the key $43 level which has again provided stiff resistance before it was able to break through to above $45 before falling back sharply to $43.
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USDJPY - Trades Right Around 104 as BOJ Hoards Japan Stocks

 

 
In the last few weeks, the USDJPY has traded right around the current key level of 104, seemingly content to trade around this level for the time being, with the volatility returning to normal levels. Several weeks ago, it fell very sharply from a three week high above 105.50 which it reached after its largest single day move in more than six months moving it from an eight month low up to that high above 105.50. Prior to the surge, it was trading at the low down near 103 after having broken through the strong support at the key 104 level.
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EURUSD - Eases from Two Year High above 1.21 as ECB Set to Increase Stimulus

 

 
In the last few days, the EURUSD has eased from a two year high around 1.2170 back to around 1.2050. In the week prior it had surged higher to the high after breaking through the key 1.19 level which had been applying significant resistance to the currency pair. Any recent attempts to move through this level have been rejected swiftly so it is significant that the EURUSD has been able to maintain the break and continue higher. Several weeks ago, the EURUSD surged higher from below the other current key level of 1.17, before running into the resistance at 1.19.
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US30 - Maintains Break above Key 30000 Level as U.S. Jobs Disappoint

 

 
In the last few weeks the US30 index has applied lots of pressure on the key 30000 level which has stood up and resisted prices firmly keeping the index below this level for the most part. This has happened especially in the last two weeks where almost every day the index moved to 30000 attempting to push through, although it has been able to move through to a new all time high, and maintain that break in the last few days. During this time it has also been well supported by the 29000 level, and may now enjoy some solid support from 30000. Four weeks ago, the US30 index made its first run towards 30000 and in doing so, smashed through resistance at 29000, which has applied downward pressure on the index for some time. In that initial surge higher, it also pushed strongly through 27000 and 28000 which have played a significant role in the price action of the US30 in the last few months.
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UK Oil - Surges to Nine Month High at $49 as OPEC+ Compromises

 

 
In the last few weeks, UK Oil has surged higher from support at the key $43 level moving to its highest level in nine months above $49. It eased a little a week ago before surging higher again to set the high. In the few days before the recent surge, it eased back to the key $43 level and enjoyed some support. In the two weeks prior, UK Oil surged from its lowest level in five months below $36.50 back up to the key $43 level which has again provided stiff resistance before it was able to break through to above $45 before falling back sharply to $43.
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Market Recap: 30 November - 4 December

 

 
On Tuesday last week we covered the AUDUSD which spent the remainder of the week continuing to edge higher to its highest levels in more than two years. It has been moving well for the last month, pushing to a then three month high just above 0.74 before falling in the last for a few days and then reversing to push higher again. For around two weeks, the AUDUSD rested on and enjoyed solid support from the key 0.7250 level having surged higher in the week prior through the key level, and this level may provide some support should the AUDUSD decline.
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